Strike Back!

Hillary is on the attack! Wait for it, she just may cry again. After the water-works trick worked so well in New Hampshire, she tried it again before Super Tuesday, and I suspect we’ll see more tears before Texas and Ohio. She’s holding up boxing gloves and accusing Barack of everything from stealing speech lines to copying her economic plan. Her campaign has contacted CNN and complained that she’s being unfairly scrutinized while Obama is getting a free ride. These juvenile tactics aren’t going to work. Does she really think we’re that gullible, or is she simply that desperate? According to a February 12th New York Times article, “She has to win both Ohio and Texas comfortably, or she’s out,” said one super-delegate who has endorsed Mrs. Clinton, and who spoke on condition of anonymity to share a candid assessment. “The campaign is starting to come to terms with that.” Campaign advisers, also speaking privately in order to speak plainly, confirmed this view.

      So this is it, the final stretch. After losing eight straight contest in a row the great Clinton machine is showing signs of breaking down. The campaign is shaken and visibly so. Clinton’s deputy campaign manager has stepped down, key super delegates have expressed interest in jumping over to the Obama side, and she can’t get an endorsement out of Edwards. Yet we can’t count out the Clinton’s just yet. If anything they are fighters and dirty fighters at that. Out of desperation, the Clinton campaign is lobbying the Democratic Party to reverse its prior decision and count the Florida and Michigan delegates in the final delegate count, despite their earlier disqualification. Before the primary season began the Democratic Party reached an agreement with its potential presidential candidates that they would not campaign in Florida or Michigan and that the delegates from those states would be meaningless.

      All the candidates agreed, which in effect, made the Florida and Michigan primaries a moot point, since none of their delegates could be used by any of the candidates vying for the nomination. The Clinton campaign was the main advocate for this “ban”, because at the time they felt that they were invincible and would have little competition from the other candidates. The cold hard truth is now Hillary is in danger of losing the nomination. Despite the fact that she went against her word by campaigning (and winning the non-races) in Florida and Michigan. The result of Super Tuesday (for the Clinton camp), was a loss of momentum over the last few weeks. Which has led to less money being raised, less positive talk in the news media, less volunteer sign-ups, and a lot less energy than Obama. She shook up her campaign by removing (or forcing the resignation of) her deputy campaign manager.

What Hillary fails to see is that this isn’t just about Barack Obama, this is a movement for change. Obama’s victories are both greater in number, and magnitude than Clinton’s victories. The percentage in all contests as of now shows Obama performing much better on average. Obama’s median percentage is 48.5% to Clinton’s 32%. The disparity reflects Clinton’s inability to perform well in smaller states, especially those holding caucuses. The average margin of victory in caucus states is even greater for Obama. There are hundreds of thousands of us who are tired of the same old bullshit! We’re tired of the government revolving around the establishment elite. She wants to tout herself as experienced well what has she truly accomplished with all her years? How come things aren’t better because of what ever it is she claims to have done?

        How has her experience helped shape the world so far? She failed at health care in the nineties even though she wasn’t actually an elected official and should never have been involved in the process to begin with. As a Senator she has side with Bush on the War and on Tax cuts for the rich. She has signed her name on nearly ever bill that John McCain has. How will the two of them debate on the national scale? Obama’s average vote share is not only high due to his strong performance in caucus states. He has also shown the ability to eat away at Clinton’s lead in states that she was expected to dominate. For example, her margin of victory in her home state of New York and neighboring New Jersey was half that of Obama’s margin in his own home state of Illinois.

         Perhaps as important as anything else in this non-election period, Hillary Clinton and her team have done a better job than anyone in modern political history at creating a narrative they want with the press corps. The media then writes and re-writes that story until it becomes (magically) conventional wisdom. With a campaign based in DC and a huge number of operatives who have twenty years of personal relationships with the national political press corps, it’s no wonder that the national punditry has written of her brilliance in defusing the Iraq War issue and her inevitability in becoming the Democrats’ nominee. No other candidate has that kind of lobbying power with the media — they dine together, vacation together, work together — and it has paid off. There will be a CNN debate on Thursday between Clinton and Obama, and my money is on some mud being slung-big time!

Why the focus shifts from Super delegates to alleged plagiarism, the Clinton camp can not escape the fact that Barack Obama’s campaign is on track to raise more than $30 million in February, while Hillary Clinton’s had to loan her own campaign $5 million. “Obama’s financial superiority is straining the Clinton campaign at this point. That’s reflected in how he spread the field on her in Super Tuesday. His ability to advertise in more states than she did, to put more resources on the ground than she did,” gave Obama an edge, said Anthony Corrado, an expert on campaign finance at Colby College.

         This is something that the super delegates will look at. Can you really hang your hat on a nominee who can’t even raise enough money to compete in the primaries, when you have a candidate who people are more than willing to trow money at. It’s because Barack Obama unites progressives, independents and Democrats, and discourages rather than unifies Republicans. He unites independents, the young, minorities, and progressives alike. And unlike Hillary, he will not unify the GOP, and indeed will take Republican votes. I have a friend who said that her mother whom has voted Republican for twenty-years voted for Barack Obama in the primaries here in Missouri. This is incredible, it has nothing to do with momentum this is a national surge for change and the people are saying that they are tired of politics as usual. In the polls Barack Obama can beat John McCain, Hillary can not.

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Listening to: Duran Duran – Girls On Film
via FoxyTunes

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